Los Angeles Clippers: Forecasting the Production of Rookie Blake Griffin

September 23rd, 2010 by ken park Leave a reply »
There's some uncertainty about what to expect from Blake Griffin in this upcoming season. In message boards across the country, fantasy ballers are wondering in which round do I take Blake? I answer this question using historical rookie year production from some of the best power forwards past and present.

How Many Minutes Will Blake Play?
Many of the elite power forwards were similarly productive on a per-minute basis during their rookie seasons. However, some rookies got more playing time than others. For instance, Charles Barkley averaged 14 pts, 8.6 rebs, 1.2 stls, and 1 blk  in only 28.6 minutes per game. Elton Brand, on the other hand, was a 20/10 guy as a rookie, but played nearly 8 minutes per game more than Barkley. Thus, reasonable assumptions regarding Blake's playing time will be important for forecasting his production.

It's possible that the Clippers limit Blake's opportunity early on given his knee surgery just last season. On the flip side, the Clippers virtually have no depth at power forward, which increases the likelihood of him playing starter's minutes. Vinny Del Negro has al ...

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